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I’ve basically spent all today checking up on the war news and nursing my black eye (from a “bike accident”… yeah, my story), so I’ve got some thoughts about the war. First of all militarily the US is winning. Things aren’t going perfectly and it would be a lot better if we could have had another heavy division come down from turkey instead of sitting in the meditarianian right now. But the real fight won’t happen until we get to Baghdad. Still militarily we will probagly win pretty easily.
Yet I’m not optimistic for two reasons. First, we are not winning the political battles. Find any newspaper site anywhere in the world outside of the US and it is likely to protray the US as not doing that well, and is likely to emphasize civilian casualties and refugees. Even the US media sources are spinning a pessimistic view after the minor casualties we suffered today. There where about 30-100 casualties today, and there are probably gonna be about the same amountr tommorow and more when we get to Baghdad. What is the Media and the people gonna do when the numbers go up?
Second is how the Iraqi’s are resisting. I’m begining to think that Saddam may be dead or wounded. But that makes the resitance more scary because it means that these people are resisting without orders from above and that even if we capture Baghdad the rest of the country might be a lot harder to pacify than the army has calculated.
Other shit going on in the world 1. Kashmir 2. Nigeria 3. San Fransico
Unrelated but here is a Great article about philosophy of Alqueda